How accurate is a 10 day weather forecast? (Page 2): Yeah, we do pretty good; just being ready for TODAY... all the things you've just mentioned, I'm capable of accomplishing/ this...

Able Man Loc: North Coast (Cleveland, Ohio)

Bass face wrote:

I believe that even a 3 day forecast is useless! Being a surfer and an avid fisherman, I’ve learned over the years how to read wind charts, radar, pressures and track storms. Even then, Mother Nature is likely to throw up a curve ball!

Yeah, we do pretty good; just being ready for TODAY... all the things you've just mentioned, I'm capable of accomplishing/ this little cellphone, PLUS a "satellite shot", from the "GOES".

captjim Loc: Antioch Ca

FS Digest wrote:

A good friend of mine is coming down from the coast guard and I wanted to take him fishing on the 18th and 19th. It says 20-30 MPH wind on the 18th and quite a bit of rain on the 19th. Anyone have any idea how spot on that tends to be? Won’t make for good fishing obviously lol.

Edit- Sarasota, Fl I’m sure everywhere is a little different.

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by Ryansm19

Around here they keep forecasting rain and it doesn't happen. I have found that wind forecasts are usually closer to accurate. Conditions that create wind are more predictable. Good luck have a plan for just in case. Even if that is a 6-pack and a view of the water.

DC Loc: Washington state

I have cancelled trips due to bad weather forecasts only to see when the day came it would have been perfect weather, and I have planned trips based on good weather forecasts only to end up spending the time in raining windy weather. anything beyond looking out the window the day of and seeing what the weather is has a decreasing accuracy the longer out you are looking. But I guess that is all we have to go on as far as making plans. I'd say if it is the only time you can go then go.

Peach8 Loc: Lexington, KY

Depends on where you live. If he/she area forecaster is pretty accurate roll with it. If not, find anther outing just in case. One thing I learned VERY LONG ago, pack for whatever, friends laughed, if tide turns, you're prepared...all that matters and be sure to inform guests!! My personal cutoff for boating is 15mph, rain no object w/no lightening...be prepared.

Harris T. Fudpucker Loc: Lafayette, Louisiana

OJdidit wrote:

Must be nice to be right perhaps 30% of the time...and still keep your job! I know it is not easy predicting where the highs and lows are going to be 10 days from now as well as where the jet stream will be. I don’t trust a forecast more than 2 days out.
Make your plans and have a backup plan in place. Hope it works out for you!

Agree, 10 days out, what a joke, can't predict what the weather will be in three days. The weather out in 4 days have changed over the past 4 days. In fact, I have two weather stations that I refer to from time to time, and both have different views of the next 3 days, sometimes stated no rain, it pours that day. Right now the two of them have different temps for Monday. One of them states the bad weather will be here Monday, the other states Tuesday. They can be wrong 100% of the time, and still get 100% of their paycheck.

Rcl101845-

Good luck and have fun. I lived in Bradenton FL for 12 years. Fishing is great there.

FixorFish Loc: SW Oregon

Short answer... meteorologists are much like gambling pundits. They use their energy to study past traits of what they are presently observing, and base their predictions on what they find that has correlation.
Not unlike we fishermen.... that base our gear/lure choices on previous experience with the body of water, the targeted species and our HUNCHES....and we all know how reliable THAT is, don't we ?........ hehehe
10 days out ? Ain't nobody got a firm grip......3-4 ?, maybe, but it doesn't make me a gambler. I am a former Boy Scout, still abide by the motto...BE PREPARED !
And...yeah, I always catch grief from my buddies for taking so much gear.... until, of course, they wish to borrow something to abate whatever we are encountering, weather-wise !
Our nightly local news stations give between 5 and 7 "area specific" forecasts each evening, mainly due to elevation and proximity to either the ocean or the mountain ranges. I always practice "observe and deseminate for yourself".

badbobby Loc: Humble Texas

FS Digest wrote:

A good friend of mine is coming down from the coast guard and I wanted to take him fishing on the 18th and 19th. It says 20-30 MPH wind on the 18th and quite a bit of rain on the 19th. Anyone have any idea how spot on that tends to be? Won’t make for good fishing obviously lol.

Edit- Sarasota, Fl I’m sure everywhere is a little different.

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by Ryansm19

couldn't be accurate
they keep changing it

dec341

A 10 day forecast is slightly less accurate than a 9 day forecast. The farther you go the less you know. Like Dylan said you dont need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows. The radical weathermen from the 60s took their name from that line. Ancient history. Like that other guy says, just saying.

tominsdtn Loc: Soddy Daisy TN

Just go. A bad day fishing is better then a good day at work!

captjim Loc: Antioch Ca

FS Digest wrote:

A good friend of mine is coming down from the coast guard and I wanted to take him fishing on the 18th and 19th. It says 20-30 MPH wind on the 18th and quite a bit of rain on the 19th. Anyone have any idea how spot on that tends to be? Won’t make for good fishing obviously lol.

Edit- Sarasota, Fl I’m sure everywhere is a little different.

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by Ryansm19

The only forecasting tool I believe is the weather rock. Rock hanging on the end of a rope If it's swinging, it's windy. If it's wet, it's raining. If it's hot, the temp is hot. If I cannot see it, it's foggy, or I am.

FixorFish Loc: SW Oregon

captjim wrote:

The only forecasting tool I believe is the weather rock. Rock hanging on the end of a rope If it's swinging, it's windy. If it's wet, it's raining. If it's hot, the temp is hot. If I cannot see it, it's foggy, or I am.

That is exactly what my dad's oldest brother claimed, to the point of hanging a beautiful stone he had found as a youth, labeled with a sign, as to its reasoning for being and the above "present conditions" definitions....at his Ice Cream/Burger establishment, the "Dairy Keen" (typical of our family's wry sense of wordsmithing) in Hill City, Ks. circa 1963 or so(?).

D Ryb Loc: sharon CT

Predicting the weather is like predicting, what you’re wife is going to do when she’s mad

Able Man Loc: North Coast (Cleveland, Ohio)

D Ryb wrote:

Predicting the weather is like predicting, what you’re wife is going to do when she’s mad

Now, you're reminding me of "Rolling Pin Deb"!!! (Long story; prolly better off, left untold!)

D Ryb Loc: sharon CT

Told or untold bet it’s a good story