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Jan 13, 2021 21:25:40   #
Ronniejw Loc: West Point MS
 
38 Interesting predictions.



1 — Auto repair shops will disappear..

2 — A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts... An electrical motor has 20... Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers... It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor...

3 — Faulty electric motors are NOT repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with ROBOTS...

4 — Your electric motor malfunction light goes on ... so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee... Then your car comes out on the other side with a new electric motor or component...

5 — Gas stations will go away...

6 — Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity... Companies will install electrical recharging stations ... in fact, they've already started in the developed world...

7 — Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build ONLY electric cars..

8 — The "Coal Industries" will go away... Gasoline/oil companies will go away... Drilling for oil will stop... So say goodbye to OPEC... The Middle East is in trouble...

9 — Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day than they use... It will be sold back to "The Grid"... The Grid will store and dispense it, to the industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof??

10 — A baby of today will only see "personal cars" in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can even handle...

11 — In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide... Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt... Who would have thought of that ever happening??

12 — What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5–10 years ... and most people don't even see it coming...

13 — Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never take pictures on film again? With today's smartphones, who even has a camera these days??

14 — Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975... The first ones only had 10,000 pixels but followed Moore's law... As with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment in the beginning ... before it became superior and mainstream in only a few short years...

15 — It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence (AI), health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs...

16 — Forget the book, "Future Shock," welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution...

17 — Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries ... (in the next 5 to 10 years...

18 — UBER is just a software tool (they don't own any cars), and are now the biggest taxi company in the world... (Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming...

19 — AIR-BnB is now the biggest hotel company in the world .. (they don't own any properties)... Ask Hilton Hotels or the Marriott if they saw that coming...

20 — Artificial Intelligence (AI): Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world... This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world ... (10 years earlier than expected)...

21 — In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs (because of IBM's WATSON) ... you can get legal advice within a few seconds so for the basic stuff ... with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.. So, if you're studying law, THINK AGAIN... There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, what a thought and only omniscient specialists will remain...

22 — WATSON already helps nurses diagnosing cancer ... it's 4 times more accurate and many times faster than human nurses...

23 — Facebook now has a 'face recognition' software that can recognize faces better than humans... In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans...

24 — Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars were already here... In the next few years, the entire auto industry will start to be disrupted... You won't want to own a car any more as you will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination...

25 — You will not need to park it, you will pay only for the 'driven distance' and you can be productive while driving. The very young children of today will never get a driver's licence and they will never own a car..

26 — This will change our cities because we will need 90% to 95% fewer cars... We can transform former parking spaces into green city parks...

27 — About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents (worldwide). That includes distracted or drunk drivers... We currently have one accident every 60,000 miles driven... However with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in about 6 million miles... That will save a million plus lives, worldwide each year...

28 — Most traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt... They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car ... while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels...

29 — Look at what Volvo is doing right now ... no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2020 models... They are using all-electric or hybrid only (with the intent of phasing out hybrid models in the not too distant future)...

30 — Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla... Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles... That was unheard of, only a few years ago...

31 — Insurance companies will have massive trouble too ... because, without accidents, the costs of insurance will become cheaper... Their car insurance business model will disappear...

32 — Real estate will change... Because if you can work while you commute, or you can work from your home ... people will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful and affordable properties.

33 — Electric cars will become mainstream by about 2030... Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run ONLY on electricity...

34 — Cities will have much cleaner air...

35 — Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean, eventually free..

36 — Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years ... but you can now see the burgeoning impact ... and it's just starting to get ramped up...

37 — Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid ... to prevent competition from home solar installations ... but that simply cannot continue... Technology will take care of that strategy in the not too distant future...

38 — Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year... There are companies who will build a medical device called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, a sample of your blood, then you breathe into it... It then analyzes 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease.. There are dozens of phone apps out there right now for health...

WELCOME TO TOMORROW — To think, I used to complain about my parents and grandparents being "out of it."

| Reply
Jan 13, 2021 22:13:40   #
Graywulff Loc: Cortez,Co.
 
Ronniejw wrote:
38 Interesting predictions.



1 — Auto repair shops will disappear..

2 — A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts... An electrical motor has 20... Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers... It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor...

3 — Faulty electric motors are NOT repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with ROBOTS...

4 — Your electric motor malfunction light goes on ... so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee... Then your car comes out on the other side with a new electric motor or component...

5 — Gas stations will go away...

6 — Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity... Companies will install electrical recharging stations ... in fact, they've already started in the developed world...

7 — Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build ONLY electric cars..

8 — The "Coal Industries" will go away... Gasoline/oil companies will go away... Drilling for oil will stop... So say goodbye to OPEC... The Middle East is in trouble...

9 — Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day than they use... It will be sold back to "The Grid"... The Grid will store and dispense it, to the industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof??

10 — A baby of today will only see "personal cars" in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can even handle...

11 — In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide... Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt... Who would have thought of that ever happening??

12 — What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5–10 years ... and most people don't even see it coming...

13 — Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never take pictures on film again? With today's smartphones, who even has a camera these days??

14 — Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975... The first ones only had 10,000 pixels but followed Moore's law... As with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment in the beginning ... before it became superior and mainstream in only a few short years...

15 — It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence (AI), health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs...

16 — Forget the book, "Future Shock," welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution...

17 — Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries ... (in the next 5 to 10 years...

18 — UBER is just a software tool (they don't own any cars), and are now the biggest taxi company in the world... (Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming...

19 — AIR-BnB is now the biggest hotel company in the world .. (they don't own any properties)... Ask Hilton Hotels or the Marriott if they saw that coming...

20 — Artificial Intelligence (AI): Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world... This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world ... (10 years earlier than expected)...

21 — In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs (because of IBM's WATSON) ... you can get legal advice within a few seconds so for the basic stuff ... with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.. So, if you're studying law, THINK AGAIN... There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, what a thought and only omniscient specialists will remain...

22 — WATSON already helps nurses diagnosing cancer ... it's 4 times more accurate and many times faster than human nurses...

23 — Facebook now has a 'face recognition' software that can recognize faces better than humans... In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans...

24 — Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars were already here... In the next few years, the entire auto industry will start to be disrupted... You won't want to own a car any more as you will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination...

25 — You will not need to park it, you will pay only for the 'driven distance' and you can be productive while driving. The very young children of today will never get a driver's licence and they will never own a car..

26 — This will change our cities because we will need 90% to 95% fewer cars... We can transform former parking spaces into green city parks...

27 — About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents (worldwide). That includes distracted or drunk drivers... We currently have one accident every 60,000 miles driven... However with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in about 6 million miles... That will save a million plus lives, worldwide each year...

28 — Most traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt... They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car ... while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels...

29 — Look at what Volvo is doing right now ... no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2020 models... They are using all-electric or hybrid only (with the intent of phasing out hybrid models in the not too distant future)...

30 — Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla... Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles... That was unheard of, only a few years ago...

31 — Insurance companies will have massive trouble too ... because, without accidents, the costs of insurance will become cheaper... Their car insurance business model will disappear...

32 — Real estate will change... Because if you can work while you commute, or you can work from your home ... people will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful and affordable properties.

33 — Electric cars will become mainstream by about 2030... Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run ONLY on electricity...

34 — Cities will have much cleaner air...

35 — Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean, eventually free..

36 — Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years ... but you can now see the burgeoning impact ... and it's just starting to get ramped up...

37 — Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid ... to prevent competition from home solar installations ... but that simply cannot continue... Technology will take care of that strategy in the not too distant future...

38 — Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year... There are companies who will build a medical device called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, a sample of your blood, then you breathe into it... It then analyzes 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease.. There are dozens of phone apps out there right now for health...

WELCOME TO TOMORROW — To think, I used to complain about my parents and grandparents being "out of it."
38 Interesting predictions. br br br br 1 — ... (show quote)
But they can't computerize fishing.......

| Reply
Jan 13, 2021 23:01:03   #
dbed Loc: Brock, Nebraska southeast Ne.
 
Graywulff wrote:
But they can't computerize fishing.......


but they might outlaw it

| Reply
 
 
Jan 14, 2021 04:51:54   #
flyguy Loc: So. Padre Island, TX. 1 & 2, & S.E. MN. 3-12
 
dbed wrote:
but they might outlaw it


I don't know if I'm ready for any of it.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 08:35:36   #
plumbob Loc: New Windsor Maryland
 
And here i was programmed to believe that we would have flying cars first.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 09:50:02   #
Able Man Loc: North Coast (Cleveland, Ohio)
 
I'm thinking that we'd all better "do our best" at "passing on" to the younger ones, HOW to "get things done", minus electronics... Just in case.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 09:54:36   #
Ronniejw Loc: West Point MS
 
Able Man wrote:
I'm thinking that we'd all better "do our best" at "passing on" to the younger ones, HOW to "get things done", minus electronics... Just in case.


I doubt they could get their minds out of all that stuff, the only way would be if all the wizardry disappeared

| Reply
 
 
Jan 14, 2021 09:57:47   #
Ronniejw Loc: West Point MS
 
In my younger years I started learning how to fix my cars, repairs around the house and other things. Even with electronics in my boats I still took landmarks and compass headings, if they broke down you needed to know the way home.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 10:36:36   #
Big dog Loc: Bayshore, Long Island, New York
 
Graywulff wrote:
But they can't computerize fishing.......


Or hunting, or the bugs in my vegetable garden.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 10:37:54   #
Big dog Loc: Bayshore, Long Island, New York
 
dbed wrote:
but they might outlaw it


Not while I’m alive.!

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 12:27:52   #
neverfish Loc: petaluma california
 
Pretty interesting stuff i heard Elon Musk talking about this stuff. If its anything like OUR goverment they’ll just screw it up. It does seem like some coming true though glad i’m retired feel bad for the kids though, but God will see us through, my son in-law does commercial windows they have no work in Febuary sometimes its seasonal anyway people just don’t know so they’re holding back. Its not good to worry even though we do

| Reply
 
 
Jan 14, 2021 13:09:33   #
audigger53 Loc: Severn, MD
 
OK the main problem I can see with everyone going to Electric cars, like Cali is going to do. Is the Electrical grid has to be upgraded for the increased load. Cali already has rolling blackouts because the Electric rates have been frozen by the State Gov years back. Electric cars are good in cities, but I would NOT trust them "in the hills" r on long trips. Polliticans Don't care as they fly or have someone else drive them around. "Public transportation!" The buses in Baltimore were cutting back for "cost savings" before the Covus hit. Poorer persons that could not afford a car were complaining that it now took hours by bus to get to work. So all of those statements have a lot of holes in them. AI is nothing more than a program written by humans. I'm not to worried about "AI" BTW I have known to many Programmers and seen so many first, second, thiid, attempts to make a program run. Programs are liniar in almost all cases, the "What if" statements have to be added again and again. And then there is "Human nature". Glad I most likely won't be around for the fire works when they try all those statements. BTW wait until an Earthquake hits and knocks the Cell Towers out of alignment like they did on the East Coast some years back. No Cell phones worked then here.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 14:40:00   #
bottomcoon Loc: Tahlequah, oklahoma
 
If petroleum drilling is outlawed where are you going to get the material for your water or milk bottles? They are made from natural gas, a product of the petroleum industry. Ok, so you'll use synthetic lube. Not without natural gas. I think it'll be a while before electric plane service is offered between NY & London. That's just my unprofessional redneck opinion. Tight lined.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 17:21:41   #
Ronniejw Loc: West Point MS
 
I worked for Monsanto back in Australia, they had an ethylene plant and used benzene to make plastics, so without those 2 forget about almost anything being made.

| Reply
Jan 14, 2021 20:43:36   #
bric Loc: Helena, MT
 
bottomcoon wrote:
If petroleum drilling is outlawed where are you going to get the material for your water or milk bottles? They are made from natural gas, a product of the petroleum industry. Ok, so you'll use synthetic lube. Not without natural gas. I think it'll be a while before electric plane service is offered between NY & London. That's just my unprofessional redneck opinion. Tight lined.


I’m with ya, I don’t think we can get rid of petroleum so soon. The natural gas is a good point, so many heat homes that way and it’s very efficient. But I do think we can go back to more glass bottles and cardboard containers, like when we grew up. I don’t even drink much milk,lol. We were fine without so much plastic, however I do think plastic is amazing for so many other applications. As far as traveling, well I think there’s some that just want us all to stay home....but I best not go there.

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