we hear a lot of people's thoughts and conclusions with out the raw data they base them on so I went to the CDC web site and got their latest stats to try to make some since of what is going on here is what I found
Monitoring Incidence of COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Status — 13 U.S. Jurisdictions, April 4–July 17, 2021 | MMWR (cdc.gov)
averaged weekly, age-standardized rates (events per 100,000 persons) were higher among persons not fully vaccinated than among fully vaccinated persons for reported cases (112.3 versus 10.1), hospitalizations (9.1 versus 0.7), and deaths (1.6 versus 0.1) during April 4–June 19, as well as during June 20–July 17 (89.1 versus 19.4; 7.0 versus 0.7; 1.1 versus 0.1, respectively). Higher hospitalization and death rates were observed in older age groups, regardless of vaccination status, resulting in a larger impact of age-standardization on overall incidence for these outcomes.
https://cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/adverse-events.htmlReports of death after COVID-19 vaccination are rare. More than 375 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines were administered in the United States from December 14, 2020, through September 7, 2021. During this time, VAERS received 7,439 reports of death (0.0020%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine. FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death after COVID-19 vaccination to VAERS, even if it’s unclear whether the vaccine was the cause. Reports of adverse events to VAERS following vaccination, including deaths, do not necessarily mean that a vaccine caused a health problem. A review of available clinical information, including death certificates, autopsy, and medical records, has not established a causal link to COVID-19 vaccines. However, recent reports indicate a plausible causal relationship between the J&J/Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine and TTS, a rare and serious adverse event—blood clots with low platelets—
So using the time period of June20 - July 17 which is the most recent here is the statistics
Number infected per 100,000 was 108.5 or .001%
Unvaccinated 89.1 82% of infected or .00089% per 100,000
Vaccinated 19.4 18% or infected or .00019% per 100,000
Hospitalizations per 100,000 was 7.7 or .00007%
Unvaccinated 7 82% of infected or .00007% per 100,000
Vaccinated .7 18% or infected or .000007% per 100,000
Deaths per 100,000 was 1.2 or .000012%
Unvaccinated 1.1 92% of infected or .000011% per 100,000
Vaccinated .1 8% of infected or .000001% per 100,000
Reported deaths after vaccinations 7439 out of 375 million doses or .000019% which equates to 1.98 per 100,000. (yes it can be debated if these deaths are in fact directly caused by the vaccine but they have been reported as such so these are the numbers I will go by)
Here are the conclusions I gain from all this if all my math has been correct based on information from the CDC is correct the risk of being infected by covid is 5X greater for the vaccinated than the unvaccinated, and 10X greater to be hospitalized and dying from covid than the vaccinated but here is the surprising thing the risk of dying from covid among the unvaccinated is almost the same as dying after getting the vaccine. So while I am vaccinated and am in no way an antivaccination person based on the raw numbers if death is your main concern it has to be admitted that there is a valid reason for some to choose not to be vaccinated, which is why vaccine mandates is so misguided. What is also striking the often heard comparison to smallpox is just scare tactics since smallpox had a death rate of around 35% which is much much higher than the overall death rate from covid which currently is something like 1.6% which is .0016 per 100,000 people